photo credit VegasParlay.com
by Lisa Horne
Week 7 saw so-so results with Pigskin Grind going 6-of-10—it has a respectable 35-of-60 success rate for the season. This week's lines lack great values. For that reason, we are replacing three college games with three NFL games. For what it's worth, Pigskin Grind is 4-0 in NFL pick 'ems.
As always, good luck.
Obligatory disclaimer: Pigskin Grind is not a tout service. All spreads listed are for entertainment purposes only—due to fluctuations, these lines may or may not reflect real time Las Vegas odds.
Michigan State -14.5 at Indiana
The Hoosiers are better than the experts think and normally, they would be a great pick to cover here. But quarterback Nate Sudfeld is out for the season with a shoulder injury. The Hoosiers lost their only two experienced reserve quarterbacks due to transfers to other schools. That leaves freshman Chris Covington, who was not recruited as a quarterback, according to an IndyStar report.
Lay the points and roll with Sparty
Rutgers +19.5 at Ohio State
The Buckeyes' defense is a concern. Rutgers can score points. While Ohio State should win here, especially since it is Homecoming, Rutgers should keep the game competitive for three quarters.
Take the points and Rutgers
Kentucky +9.5 at LSU
Look, LSU is not very good. The Tigers struggled to beat a very average Florida last week and needed some luck to do it. Kentucky looks improved. Not only does Kentucky cover, it should have a good shot and winning this game. UPSET ALERT.
Take the points and Kentucky
Texas A&M +11.5 at Alabama
The SEC looks to be very down. Alabama is still tweaking its offense and its secondary looks like a work-in-progress. Think Aggie quarterback Kenny Hill will try and exploit the Tide's weak link? The Tide should win but this game will be closer than the experts think.
Take the points and Texas A&M
Cincinnati +14.5 at SMU
Neither of these teams has a good defense but I like the Bearcats' offense more. Moreover, SMU, like Eastern Michigan, has been one of those teams to pick against all season. The Mustangs usually don't cover.
Lay the points and take Cincy
Washington +20.5 at Oregon
The Ducks look like the best team in the Pac-12 but the Huskies' defense has really impressed lately. It passes the eye test. Washington linebacker Shaq Thompson will make a big play sometime during this game. The Ducks should win this game but the Huskies will prevent them from covering.
Take the points and Washington
Cal +8 v UCLA
The last time the Bruins won at Berkeley was in 1998. UCLA has only covered once against the spread this season. This will be a high-flying game with at least 70 points scored. It's hard to fathom UCLA losing three straight games but it is possible—the team's confidence has to be shattered. If UCLA does win, it will likely be by a field goal.
Take the points and Cal
New England -9.5 v Jets
The Jets are a hot mess and one of the best teams to pick against right now—they've lost five straight. Also, Tom Brady is a little ticked at the negativity from two weeks ago. Pats win with an easy cover.
Lay the points and take the Pats
Dallas -5.5 v New York Giants
The Cowboys are scorcing hot right now. Eventually, they'll have a Romo-inspired meltdown but not against the Giants.
Lay the points and take the 'Boys
Seattle -6.5 at St. Louis
Coming off of a loss and visiting the Rams who have lost three straight is the perfect medicine for Seattle. Ugh, this will get ugly fast. Seahawks win big.
Lay the points and take Seattle