photo credit VegasParlay.com
For the first time this season, Pigskin Grind had a sub-.500 week hitting on only four of 10 picks. For the season, Pigskin Grind is now 16 of 30 which is barely above .500.
This is the week to make up that bad week.
Memphis +18.5 at Ole Miss
No, Memphis won't beat Ole Miss but the game will be closer than the experts think. Memphis is fearless on the road—the Tigers gave the UCLA Bruins fits at the Rose Bowl on September 6. More importantly, Ole Miss hosts Alabama the following week and the Rebels may have a hard time getting up for Memphis.
Take the points, Memphis covers.
Nebraska -18 v Illinois
The Cornhuskers beat the Illini by 20 points last year but Nebraska is a better team this year while Illinois is a hot mess. The Illini struggled to beat Youngstown State, Western Kentucky and Texas State and got spanked 44-19 by a very average Washington Husky team.
Lay the points and take Nebraska.
TCU -31.5 at SMU
SMU has scored one touchdown this season. The Mustangs lost to Baylor 45-0, North Texas 43-6 and Texas A&M 58-6. That pretty much says it all.
Lay those points and believe in the Frog.
Baylor -21.5 at Iowa State
Last year Baylor beat Iowa State 71-7. That probably will not happen again to the Cyclones but Baylor is starting to warm up its offense—the Bears have scored 60 or more points in two consecutive games. Iowa State simply doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up with Baylor.
Lay the points and take Baylor.
NC State +21.5 v Florida State
How flat is Florida State going to be after that overtime win against Clemson? The good news for Florida State: Heisman-winning quarterback Jameis Winston is back under center. The bad news: the visitor has lost five straight contests, according to Phil Steele's preseason magazine. Seminoles win but the Wolfpack keep it closer than the experts think.
Take the points, NC State covers.
Texas Tech +13.5 at Oklahoma State
Neither team's defense will keep offensive coordinators up all night so the real question is which offense puts up more points on the scoreboard. In a shootout, the underdog is a smart bet when there are more than seven points in the spread.
Take the points and Texas Tech.
Maryland +4 at Indiana
Indiana had its 15 minutes of fame when it beat Missouri on Saturday. I'm betting the Hoosiers are still wildly hungover from that victory over an SEC team. The Terrapins are 2-0 on the road. Indiana is on a mild upset alert.
Take the points and Maryland
Georgia Southern -16.5 v Appalachian State
The Eagles are the darling of the Sun "Fun" Belt. After three of four contests on the road, Georgia Southern should breeze to victory. Appalachian State is not the same team that beat Michigan in the upset of the decade seven years ago.
Lay the points and take Georgia Southern.
Stanford -6 at Washington
Washington is one of the worst 4-0 teams in the country and Stanford's offense looks a little less potent than previous years' versions. This game's outcome comes down to whether or not Stanford has recovered from its loss to USC and how fired up Washington plays in the first five minutes of the game.
Lay the points and take Stanford
USC -11 v Oregon State
The Trojans have had two weeks to digest their loss to Boston College. The team will come out angry and take its frustrations out on the Beavers. If there is a happy ending for Oregon State, it's that head coach Mike Riley will probably have In-N-Out burgers for the team after the game.
Lay the points and take USC.
Obligatory disclaimer: Pigskin Grind is not a tout service. All spreads listed are for entertainment purposes only—due to flucuations, these lines may or may not reflect real time Las Vegas odds.